Page 10 - TEXtalks. January-February 2023
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                         China is being replaced by


                          Bangladesh as the EU top                                                                                     ITMF global textile



                                     garment supplier                                                                                          industry survey



            Bangladesh may well become the leading apparel supplier to the European Union in the next few years on the
               strength of continuous investment in updated knitting machines and textile manufacturing technology as
                                            Chinese exports continue to plunge.
            Bangladesh media hopes the Bangladesh textile exports will fill the void being created by China which currently
              is the largest apparel exporter to the EU. According to the EU statistical office, Bangladesh currently com-
                                       mands 29.4 percent of total EU apparel imports.
                 During Jan-Nov 2023 EU's imports from China reached US$25.49 billion a growth of 22.43 percent
             year-on-year growth, Bangladesh reduced the gap with a growth grew by 41.76 percent in the same period to
              $19.40 billion. According to media reports, China has been losing its global apparel market in the last few
             years due to multiple factors. These include a shortage of skilled workforce, an increase in production costs.
             The withdrawal of foreign investments from China coupled with its Covid-19 policy. Bangladesh is not the only
             country to replace China created void, other countries like Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, India, and Pakistan             Business situation: gloom – Expectations: boom
                                                     are in the race.
             China's market share declined to 32.2 in the global apparel trade stood at 39.3 percent in 2015 and dipped to            The business situation is at a new low point since ITMF started the Global Textile Industry Survey in 2021.
             32.2 percent. Bangladesh on the other hand succeeded in increasing its market share in the EU to 24 percent               High inflation and rising interest rates are the main current drivers of the global economy, but the core
                                             in 2022 from 18.5 percent in 2017.                                                             problem of the textile supply chain in 2023 is high inventories at the brand and retail levels.
                                                                                                                                     With the opening of economies around the world after the COVID crisis, consumers had the opportunity to
                                                                                                                                    spend the money they could not during 2020 and in the first half of 2021. Consequently, demand soared, and
                                                                                                                                     brands and retailers increased orders to meet this pent-up demand. With inflation rising, especially after the
           The global cotton scenario all around                                                                                        Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, demand for consumer goods slowed while inventories
                                                                                                                                                                           remained very high.

                   the world; rates & fluctuations                                                                                   November 2021. In January 2023, the indicator was negative in all regions and segments except for North &
                                                                                                                                        Respondents to ITMF’s 18th GTIS survey confirm that order intake has continuously decreased since
                                                                                                                                       Central America and fiber producers. The latter saw orders rise for the first time since last summer. The
                                                                                                                                    previously high global order backlogs also steadily decreased from 3.1 months in March 2022 to 2.4 months
                                                                                                                                      in January 2023, mainly due to brand and retailers’ restraint to place orders. The dampening effects of the
             Stability in cotton rates prevailed in the Pakistani market last week. The spot rates remained unchanged in the         earlier supply chain disruption further helped reduce order backlogs by improving global trade flows which
              Karachi and Punjab markets, the 37.5 kg prices ranged from Rs 19000 to Rs 2300 in Karachi and from Rs                  led to a slight rise in the capacity utilization rate worldwide (mostly driven by fiber producers and spinners).
                                               19500 to Rs 22000 in Punjab.
                                                                                                                                      Expectations in 6 months-time have soared and respondents are globally positive about business in June
            It is interesting to note that though the price of cotton was higher in Sindh the rate of Phutti in Sindh was higher     2023. Textile manufacturers expect a better situation due to two important factors. First, the world is now in a
             than in Punjab. Phutti was sold in Sindh between Rs 6,500 to Rs 9,500 per 40 kg. The rate of Phutti in Punjab            much better energy situation with a relatively mild winter in Europe and energy prices in Europe and Asia
                                      ranged between Rs 7,500 to Rs 10,500 per 40 kg.                                                (especially for gas) dropping back to levels seen before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Second, the sudden
                                                                                                                                       end of the Zero-Covid policy in China with a swift opening of the borders is promising strong demand in
             In the United States market, March futures had a mixed week, remaining in the back-and-forth trading range                China as well as abroad (more tourists and imports of goods). Everything else being equal, the global
             that has been present for the past few months. Overall, most commodities had a good start to the week, with                economy will see a higher growth level than expected and this will benefit the global textile industry.
               cotton, in particular, finding support from China. After falling under pressure from the Fed’s interest rate
             increase that was announced later in the week, the U.S. Export Sales Report helped boost prices to finish the
              week on a high note. March futures closed at 86.39 cents per pound, down 111 points for the week ending
                     February 2. Open interest rose modestly, increasing 1,043 contracts for a total of 210,416.


               January/February 2023                                                                                                                                                                      January/February 2023
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