Page 72 - TEXtalks International April/May 2022

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In Pakistan, on a YoY basis, the

industry rose by 26.9% during

March 2022 compared to 2021

Corona-Survey on

business situation and

expectations in 2022

The International Textile Manufacturers Federation about their 1) business situation, 2) business
(ITMF) is an international forum for the world's textile expectation, 3) order intake, 4) order backlog, and 5) When it comes to the business expectations in six balance between good and bad business situations
industries, dedicated to keeping the worldwide capacity utilization rate. In addition, they were asked months, the global textile value chain remains optimis- is pessimistic. The expectations, on the other hand,
membership constantly informed through surveys, about their main concerns and whether and to what tic but stands on a much weaker foundation (Graph vary enormously. Companies anticipate a more
studies, and publications, participating in the extent they can pass on recent cost increases. On 2). Since September 2021, the balance between favorable business in North, South America, and
evolution of the industry's value chain, and through average, the business situation in March 2022 (as more favorable and less favorable business expecta- Africa, while the balance between more and less
the organization of annual conferences as well as shown in Graph 1) remains positive with +14 tions has fallen from +32pp to +7pp. This indicates favorable is negative in all other regions.
publishing considered opinions on future trends and percentage points (pp). Nevertheless, this is well that the textile value chain has passed the tip of a
international developments. below the +26pp in November 2021 and the +18pp strong business cycle in the 4th quarter of 2021. As for the different segments, the downstream
in January 2022. That a relatively high number of Whether we will see a broader albeit slower econom- segments – weavers/knitters, finishers/printers, and
In the 2nd half of March 2022, the ITMF conducted companies (43%) judge their situation as good ic growth will depend very much on whether disrupt- garment and home textile producers – are generally This reflects the weaker business situation. Likewise, and tobacco (17.4%), coke and petroleum products
the 13th ITMF Corona Survey amongst more than ed global supply chains will be rebalanced and how struggling more than the upstream segments – fiber also order intake expectations deteriorated in March (1.1%), Pharmaceutical (4.6%), chemicals (7.1),
220 companies worldwide in all segments along the shows that demand remains strong despite the the Russian war in Ukraine will develop in the coming producers, spinners, and textile machinery produc- 2022 from +34pp in January to +22pp in March automobiles (26.8%), iron and steel products
textile value chain. For the sixth time since May 2021, many challenges companies face on the supply side months. Looking at the different regions reveals that ers. This is especially true when it comes to passing 2022. Since July 2021 order backlog rose from 2.3 to (21.5%), fertilizer (3.2%), paper and board (8.5) and
companies were asked the same set of questions like delayed deliveries and higher production costs.
the business situation is in positive territory in all on higher costs. The order intake has fallen from 3.1 months. The expectations for order backlog wood products 157.5.
regions except for East Asia and Africa, where the +38pp in November 2021 to +12pp in March 2022. remain unchanged at 2.9 months. Given the persis-
What are your business expectations in 6 months? tent supply chain bottlenecks, the capacity utilization Pakistani cotton experts expressed confidence in the
How do you describe you current business situation? rate stays at around 80%, and the expectations are development of local cotton-related industry and
unchanged. Higher costs for raw materials, energy,
yarn export to China as well as other parts of the
49%
50 pp 50% 50 pp 50% and transportation are the main concerns for compa- world, which is increasing every year despite the
44% 44% 44% 43% nies. Weaker demand is another worry though not Covid-19 pandemic. According to the General
36% 39% 40% Share of respondants 39% 41% 39%
40 pp 36 pp 40% Balance between more 40 pp 40% (yet) a dominant one. On average, companies can Administration of Customs of the People's Republic
Balance 32 pp and less favorable Share of respondants only pass on 40% of the additional costs across the of China (GACC), data showed that China imported
between 30 pp 29% 28 pp 29 pp 30% 44% Balance 30 pp 26 pp 30% Balance between Good supply chain. more than $168 million worth of cotton yarn from
and Poor
more and 23 pp 32% between 43% Pakistan. Uncombed single cotton yarn containing
less 25% good and 20 pp 14 pp 18 pp 14 pp 20% 35%
favorable* 20 pp 20% 7 pp poor* 22% For Pakistan, the business situation is also favorable. 85% or above crossed $133 million in the first quarter
More Unchanged Less 10 pp 7 pp 10% 14 pp The Large Scale Manufacturing Industries (LSMI) of 2022. Data showed that the export of cotton yarn
10 pp 7 pp 10% favorable favorable production grew by 7% during the first three quarters (commodity code 52051100) from Pakistan to China
Source: ITMF 13th 0% of the current fiscal year (2021-22) as compared to crossed $33.30 million, while last year, it was $34.06
0% Corona Survey (1 pp) Good Satisfactory Poor the corresponding period of last year, Pakistan million in the same period. The export of uncombed
May 21 July 21 Sep 21 Nov 21 Jan 22 Mar 22 (10 pp) -10% Source: ITMF 13th Bureau of Statistics (PBS). On a year-on-year basis cabled cotton yarn to China crossed $1.50 million. In
May 21 July 21 Sep 21 Nov 21 Jan 22 Mar 22 Corona Survey
Unchanged Balance between more and less favorable (YoY), the industry rose by 26.9 percent during March the first quarter of 2022, more than 51,147.28 tons of
pp - percentage Source: ITMF Corona Survey, 11th - 13th Note: Average over regions Satisfactory Balance between good and poor 2022 compared to March 2021. The major sectors cotton yarn were imported from Pakistan. As affected
that showed positive growth during July-March by Covid-19, the import of cotton yarn was more in
pp - percentage Source: ITMF Corona Survey, 8th - 13th Note: Average over regions (2021-22) included textile (1.6%), food, beverages, terms of quantity and value last year.

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