Page 74 - TEXtalks International April/May 2022
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 The International Textile Manufacturers Federation   about their 1) business situation, 2) business
 (ITMF) is an international forum for the world's textile   expectation, 3) order intake, 4) order backlog, and 5)   When it comes to the business expectations in six   balance between good and bad business situations
 industries, dedicated to keeping the worldwide   capacity utilization rate. In addition, they were asked   months, the global textile value chain remains optimis-  is pessimistic. The expectations, on the other hand,
 membership constantly informed through surveys,   about their main concerns and whether and to what   tic but stands on a much weaker foundation (Graph   vary enormously. Companies anticipate a more
 studies, and publications, participating in the   extent they can pass on recent cost increases. On   2). Since September 2021, the balance between   favorable business in North, South America, and
 evolution of the industry's value chain, and through   average, the business situation in March 2022 (as   more favorable and less favorable business expecta-  Africa, while the balance between more and less
 the organization of annual conferences as well as   shown in Graph 1) remains positive with +14   tions has fallen from +32pp to +7pp. This indicates   favorable is negative in all other regions.
 publishing considered opinions on future trends and   percentage points (pp). Nevertheless, this is well   that the textile value chain has passed the tip of a
 international developments.  below the +26pp in November 2021 and the +18pp   strong business cycle in the 4th quarter of 2021.   As for the different segments, the downstream
 in January 2022. That a relatively high number of   Whether we will see a broader albeit slower econom-  segments – weavers/knitters, finishers/printers, and
 In the 2nd half of March 2022, the ITMF conducted   companies (43%) judge their situation as good   ic growth will depend very much on whether disrupt-  garment and home textile producers – are generally   This reflects the weaker business situation. Likewise,   and tobacco (17.4%), coke and petroleum products
 the 13th ITMF Corona Survey amongst more than   ed global supply chains will be rebalanced and how   struggling more than the upstream segments – fiber   also order intake expectations deteriorated in March   (1.1%), Pharmaceutical (4.6%), chemicals (7.1),
 220 companies worldwide in all segments along the   shows that demand remains strong despite the   the Russian war in Ukraine will develop in the coming   producers, spinners, and textile machinery produc-  2022 from +34pp in January to +22pp in March   automobiles (26.8%), iron and steel products
 textile value chain. For the sixth time since May 2021,   many challenges companies face on the supply side   months. Looking at the different regions reveals that   ers. This is especially true when it comes to passing   2022. Since July 2021 order backlog rose from 2.3 to   (21.5%), fertilizer (3.2%), paper and board (8.5) and
 companies were asked the same set of questions   like delayed deliveries and higher production costs.
 the business situation is in positive territory in all   on higher costs. The order intake has fallen from   3.1 months. The expectations for order backlog   wood products 157.5.
 regions except for East Asia and Africa, where the   +38pp in November 2021 to +12pp in March 2022.   remain unchanged at 2.9 months. Given the persis-
            tent supply chain bottlenecks, the capacity utilization   Pakistani cotton experts expressed confidence in the
            rate stays at around 80%, and the expectations are   development of local cotton-related industry and
            unchanged. Higher costs for raw materials, energy,   yarn export to China as well as other parts of the
            and transportation are the main concerns for compa-  world, which is increasing every year despite the
            nies. Weaker demand is another worry though not   Covid-19 pandemic. According to the General
            (yet) a dominant one. On average, companies can   Administration of Customs of the People's Republic
            only pass on 40% of the additional costs across the   of China (GACC), data showed that China imported
            supply chain.                                     more than $168 million worth of cotton yarn from
                                                              Pakistan. Uncombed single cotton yarn containing
            For Pakistan, the business situation is also favorable.   85% or above crossed $133 million in the first quarter
            The Large Scale Manufacturing Industries (LSMI)   of 2022. Data showed that the export of cotton yarn
            production grew by 7% during the first three quarters   (commodity code 52051100) from Pakistan to China
            of the current fiscal year (2021-22) as compared to   crossed $33.30 million, while last year, it was $34.06
            the corresponding period of last year, Pakistan   million in the same period. The export of uncombed
            Bureau of Statistics (PBS). On a year-on-year basis   cabled cotton yarn to China crossed $1.50 million. In
            (YoY), the industry rose by 26.9 percent during March   the first quarter of 2022, more than 51,147.28 tons of
            2022 compared to March 2021. The major sectors    cotton yarn were imported from Pakistan. As affected
            that showed positive growth during July-March     by Covid-19, the import of cotton yarn was more in
            (2021-22) included textile (1.6%), food, beverages,   terms of quantity and value last year.

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