Page 16 - November/December-2019
P. 16

tures complained about the unbalance in the
                                                                                                                                       exports to China as the second phase of the Free
                                                                                                                                                                                     deal, especially the textile sector which raised
                                                                                                                                       Trade Agreement (FTA) between China and
                                                                                                                                                                                     concerns about the favours it granted the
                                                                                                                                       Pakistan will offer the same tariff concessions
                                                                                                                                                                                     Chinese textile industry. They believed that the
                                                                                                                                       enjoyed by the ASEAN countries.
                                                                                                                                                                                     FTA was damaging the local industry and giving
                                                                                                                                                                                     undue advantage to the Chinese. The govern-
                                                                                                                                       The agreement covers 313 tariff lines of US $8.7
                                                                                                                                       billion Pakistan's overall exports and US $64
                                                                                                                                                                                     ment took note of the demands by the industry
                                                                                                                                       billion of China’s global imports. Textile and
                                                                                                                                                                                     as they pointed out that during the first phase,
                                                                                                                                       garments sector is at the forefront of this deal
                                                                                                                                                                                     tariffs were imposed on Pakistani textile exports.
                                                                                                                                       and will help enhance the sector’s exports to
                                                                                                                                                                                     At the same time, they complained that the
                                                                                                                                       China as it offers the same duty free access to
                                                                                                                                                                                     country’s competitors from the ASEAN had duty
                                                                                                                                                                                     free access to the Chinese market.
                                                                                                                                       ASEAN countries.
                                                                                                                                       The agreement is already bearing fruits as the
                                                                                                                                                                                     To fix this disparity, the Pakistani government held
                                                                                                                                                                                     several rounds of negotiations with their Chinese
                                                                                                                                       Indian yarn exports dropped more than 38
                                                                                                                                                                                     counterparts and now hope that the second
                                                                                                                                       percent for the first six months of the current
                                                                                                                                                                                     phase of the FTA would overcome the concerns
                                                                                                                                       fiscal year. According to reports in the Indian
                                                                                                                                                                                     of the local manufacturers and increase exports.
                                                                                                                                       press, the cotton yarn exports between April and
                                                                                                                                                                                     As a counter-measure, the sensitive list had been
                                                                                                                                       September of this year dropped from US $2.08
                                                                                                                                                                                     increased from 10% to 25%, totaling 1760 tariff
                                                                                                                                       billion to US $1.27 billion compared to the same
                                                                                                                                       period from last year.
                                                                                                                                                                                     lines and covers 37% of Pakistan's imports from
                                                                                                                                                                                     China. This, the two sides hope, will give protec-
                                                                                                                                                                                     tion to Pakistani industry from Chinese import,
                                                                                                                                       The Indian report cited the FTA’s second as a
                                                                                                                                                                                     and the textile and garments sector is a major
                                                                                                                                       major reason for the decline as it said that the
                                                                                                                                       India did not enjoy the same tariff free access to
                                                                                                                                                                                     beneficiary of this sensitive list. Whereas, the
                                                                                                                                       the Chinese market, whereas India had to pay 3.5
                                                                                                                                                                                     tariffs from the industry had also been lifted to
                                                                                                                                       to 5 percent tariffs.
                                                                                                                                                                                     increase the export of the sector. The Chinese
                                                                                                                                                                                     side also agreed to immediate market access on
                                                                                                                                                                                     its priority products, tariff reduction and measures
                                                                                                                                       The full effects of the second phase of the FTA
                                                                                                                                       could be gauged after the deal comes into effect
                                                                                                                                                                                     for protection of the domestic industry on
                                                                                                                                       from December 1, which would boost the exports
                                                                                                                                                                                     Pakistan’s request.
                                                                                                                                       of Pakistani products to the Chinese market.
                                                                                                                                                                                     The first phase of FTA between China and
                                                                                                                                       Earlier in the month, Abdul Razak Dawood,
                                                                                                                                                                                     Pakistan was signed on November 24, 2006 and
                                                                                                                                       Adviser to the Prime Minister for Commerce,
                                                                                                                                                                                     became operational in 2007. The negotiations for
                                                                                                                                       Textile, Industry & Production and Investment,
                                                                                                                                                                                     the second phase began in 2011 and after eleven
                                                                                                                                       announced that the second phase would come
                                                                                                                                       into effect from December 1 and it was becoming
                                                                                                                                                                                     rounds, both sides signed the agreement in April
                                                                                                                                                                                     of 2019 in Beijing.
                                                                                                                                       operational earlier than usual. He said that it
                                                                                                                                       usually took a year to make such agreements
                                                                                                                                                                                     Now, the second phase is about to take effect
                                                                                                                                       operational between countries but because of the
                                                                                                                                       special relations enjoyed by both the countries.
                                                                                                                                                                                     which is already showing some positive signs.
       16                                                                                                                              The textile sector of Pakistan will get a boost in   During the first phase of the FTA, local manufac-
                     Cotton season 2018/19 featured:
                Rollercoaster prices, with decreasing
                            production, area and yields
                   After a few years of relative calm, world agricultural
                 markets face policy uncertainty and trade tensions: ICAC
            Highlights from the latest ‘Review’ regarding the   Weakening economic growth amidst trade issues set
            2018/19 season include: Global area decreased by   the environment for a decrease in consumption with
            1% to 32.6 million hectares (ha) and yield declined   a near 1% loss to 26.2 million tonnes. With
            2% to 790 kg/ha; World production slipped 3% to   consumption exceeding production, global ending
            25.7 million tonnes; More than half of global stocks   stocks for the season decreased by 2% to 18.3
            (52%) are now being held outside of China.        million tonnes.
            Global stocks at the start of the 2018/19 season were   As ending stock levels in China lowered, the ratio of
            1% higher than the previous season at an estimated   stocks held in China and stocks held outside of
            18.7 million tonnes. At 84 cents per pound, the   China inverted with 52% of global stocks now being
            international reference price of cotton was lower than   held outside of China. Trade in cotton lint increased
            the previous season’s ending average of 88 cents   by 2% to 9.2 million tonnes with the USA, Brazil, West
            per pound.                                        Africa and Australia leading in global exports.
            After a 99.5 cent per pound price at the start of the   New uncertainties have emerged in addition to the
            season, prices fell throughout the year. Global area   usual risks facing agriculture. Following several years
            under cotton decreased by 1% to 32.6 million      of relatively calm market conditions, world
            hectares. Global yield decreased slightly by 2% to   agricultural markets today face mounting risks,
            790 kg/ha but remained above the ten-year average   including policy uncertainty from trade tensions.
                                                              Open, transparent and predictable trade is important
            of 776 kg/ha. As a result, global production      for the cotton market and its role as an important
            decreased by 3% to 25.7 million tonnes.
                                                              commodity in the global economy.
               APTMA demands textile policy capable of doubling exports
            APTMA Chairman Amanullah Machera said that        textile exports in the next five years.
            Pakistani exporters are facing stiff competition from
            Bangladesh and Vietnam. The chairman was of the   APTMA officials informed that 70 percent of the textile
            view that Pakistan can counter the competition only   industry is in Punjab, where more than 100 mills have
            after exporters get a five year textile policy at hand,   been closed due to poor energy policies of the
            so they know what will be the tax rates and energy   previous governments.
            prices.
                                                              The previous textile policies have not been much of a
            Meanwhile, APTMA Punjab Chairman Adil Bashir has   success story, as the Textile Policy 2014-19 failed to
            said that the government needs to announce a long   achieve all its targets including doubling value
            term and comprehensive textile policy if it wants to   addition from $1 billion per million cotton bales to $2
            see a return of capital investment in the country. The   billion per million cotton bales, increasing textile
            APTMA Punjab Chairman added that if government    exports from $13.1 billion to $26 billion as well as
            accepts this demand, they are capable of doubling   creation of 3 million jobs in five years.
               October/November 2019
   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21