Page 17 - November/December-2019
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tures complained about the unbalance in the
                 exports to China as the second phase of the Free
                                                               deal, especially the textile sector which raised
                 Trade Agreement (FTA) between China and
                                                               concerns about the favours it granted the
                 Pakistan will offer the same tariff concessions
                                                               Chinese textile industry. They believed that the
                 enjoyed by the ASEAN countries.
                                                               FTA was damaging the local industry and giving
                                                               undue advantage to the Chinese. The govern-
                 The agreement covers 313 tariff lines of US $8.7
                 billion Pakistan's overall exports and US $64
                                                               ment took note of the demands by the industry
                 billion of China’s global imports. Textile and
                                                               as they pointed out that during the first phase,
                 garments sector is at the forefront of this deal
                                                               tariffs were imposed on Pakistani textile exports.
                 and will help enhance the sector’s exports to
                                                               At the same time, they complained that the
                 China as it offers the same duty free access to
                                                               country’s competitors from the ASEAN had duty
                                                               free access to the Chinese market.
                 ASEAN countries.
                 The agreement is already bearing fruits as the
                                                               To fix this disparity, the Pakistani government held
                                                               several rounds of negotiations with their Chinese
                 Indian yarn exports dropped more than 38
                                                               counterparts and now hope that the second
                 percent for the first six months of the current
                                                               phase of the FTA would overcome the concerns
                 fiscal year. According to reports in the Indian
                                                               of the local manufacturers and increase exports.
                 press, the cotton yarn exports between April and
                                                               As a counter-measure, the sensitive list had been
                 September of this year dropped from US $2.08
                                                               increased from 10% to 25%, totaling 1760 tariff
                 billion to US $1.27 billion compared to the same
                 period from last year.
                                                               lines and covers 37% of Pakistan's imports from
                                                               China. This, the two sides hope, will give protec-
                                                               tion to Pakistani industry from Chinese import,
                 The Indian report cited the FTA’s second as a
                                                               and the textile and garments sector is a major
                 major reason for the decline as it said that the
                 India did not enjoy the same tariff free access to
                                                               beneficiary of this sensitive list. Whereas, the
                 the Chinese market, whereas India had to pay 3.5
                                                               tariffs from the industry had also been lifted to
                 to 5 percent tariffs.
                                                               increase the export of the sector. The Chinese
                                                               side also agreed to immediate market access on
                                                               its priority products, tariff reduction and measures
                 The full effects of the second phase of the FTA
                 could be gauged after the deal comes into effect
                                                               for protection of the domestic industry on
                 from December 1, which would boost the exports
                                                               Pakistan’s request.
                 of Pakistani products to the Chinese market.
                                                               The first phase of FTA between China and
                 Earlier in the month, Abdul Razak Dawood,
                                                               Pakistan was signed on November 24, 2006 and
                 Adviser to the Prime Minister for Commerce,
                                                               became operational in 2007. The negotiations for
                 Textile, Industry & Production and Investment,
                                                               the second phase began in 2011 and after eleven
                 announced that the second phase would come
                 into effect from December 1 and it was becoming
                                                               rounds, both sides signed the agreement in April
                                                               of 2019 in Beijing.
                 operational earlier than usual. He said that it
                 usually took a year to make such agreements
                                                               Now, the second phase is about to take effect
                 operational between countries but because of the
                 special relations enjoyed by both the countries.
                                                               which is already showing some positive signs.
 16              The textile sector of Pakistan will get a boost in   During the first phase of the FTA, local manufac-
 Cotton season 2018/19 featured:
 Rollercoaster prices, with decreasing
 production, area and yields
 After a few years of relative calm, world agricultural
 markets face policy uncertainty and trade tensions: ICAC
 Highlights from the latest ‘Review’ regarding the   Weakening economic growth amidst trade issues set
 2018/19 season include: Global area decreased by   the environment for a decrease in consumption with
 1% to 32.6 million hectares (ha) and yield declined   a near 1% loss to 26.2 million tonnes. With
 2% to 790 kg/ha; World production slipped 3% to   consumption exceeding production, global ending
 25.7 million tonnes; More than half of global stocks   stocks for the season decreased by 2% to 18.3
 (52%) are now being held outside of China.  million tonnes.
 Global stocks at the start of the 2018/19 season were   As ending stock levels in China lowered, the ratio of
 1% higher than the previous season at an estimated   stocks held in China and stocks held outside of
 18.7 million tonnes. At 84 cents per pound, the   China inverted with 52% of global stocks now being
 international reference price of cotton was lower than   held outside of China. Trade in cotton lint increased
 the previous season’s ending average of 88 cents   by 2% to 9.2 million tonnes with the USA, Brazil, West
 per pound.  Africa and Australia leading in global exports.
 After a 99.5 cent per pound price at the start of the   New uncertainties have emerged in addition to the
 season, prices fell throughout the year. Global area   usual risks facing agriculture. Following several years
 under cotton decreased by 1% to 32.6 million   of relatively calm market conditions, world
 hectares. Global yield decreased slightly by 2% to   agricultural markets today face mounting risks,
 790 kg/ha but remained above the ten-year average   including policy uncertainty from trade tensions.
 Open, transparent and predictable trade is important
 of 776 kg/ha. As a result, global production   for the cotton market and its role as an important
 decreased by 3% to 25.7 million tonnes.
 commodity in the global economy.
 APTMA demands textile policy capable of doubling exports
 APTMA Chairman Amanullah Machera said that   textile exports in the next five years.
 Pakistani exporters are facing stiff competition from
 Bangladesh and Vietnam. The chairman was of the   APTMA officials informed that 70 percent of the textile
 view that Pakistan can counter the competition only   industry is in Punjab, where more than 100 mills have
 after exporters get a five year textile policy at hand,   been closed due to poor energy policies of the
 so they know what will be the tax rates and energy   previous governments.
 prices.
 The previous textile policies have not been much of a
 Meanwhile, APTMA Punjab Chairman Adil Bashir has   success story, as the Textile Policy 2014-19 failed to
 said that the government needs to announce a long   achieve all its targets including doubling value
 term and comprehensive textile policy if it wants to   addition from $1 billion per million cotton bales to $2
 see a return of capital investment in the country. The   billion per million cotton bales, increasing textile
 APTMA Punjab Chairman added that if government   exports from $13.1 billion to $26 billion as well as
 accepts this demand, they are capable of doubling   creation of 3 million jobs in five years.
 October/November 2019
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